Most managers hate surprises. They crave certainty and surprises take
them away from the primary goal of dancing attendance on their bosses.
However, life is full of surprises. That’s what creates variety and
anxiety. We are all in favor of the first and hate the second.
So, how do we manage this situation? The main method is through risk
identification and planning. Basically you list everything that can occur on
your project and detail them to your boss. So, if they occur you can claim
foresight and tell your boss it’s not a surprise, just a foreseen issue that
you have to address.
Now you can have surprises on a project that cannot be foreseen. Life
will throw you the odd curve ball. I remember watching a television program on
the building of a new bridge across the Mississippi River; it was to replace an
existing bridge that had reached the end of it usefulness. Towards the end of
the project they had to pour the concrete for the road deck and, because of the
heat, they had to have completed pouring it by 10 am. So, they had the concrete
trucks ready to roll at 4 am and they had to cross the old bridge to get to
access the opposite side of the new bridge. Everything was going to plan
until a patient from a nearby mental hospital climbed up on the old bridge
super structure and threatened to throw himself off it! Now we have
pandemonium. The state police close down the bridge, the concrete trucks are
snarled in the traffic jam, the time is passing, the temperature is rising and
we have a surprise on our hands. The outcome was that the pour had to be
delayed, the trucks had to return whence they’d come and they had to redo the
exercise all over again the next day. (By the way the mental patient didn’t
jump.)
More recently we have had the tsunami in Japan. Which, with the
associated nuclear problem, resulted in a massive dislocation of the component
supply chain for many multinational companies. A real black swan event,
possible, but not probable.
So, shit happens and you can’t always anticipate it. But you can
anticipate most of it. That’s what you have to assess and detail to your boss
in advance. If he knows about it in advance then it’s not a surprise.
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